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They all suck right now....avoid them...
The cap really doesn't matter when they can increase the COI to offset the cap...
They can only increase it to the max amount, which is stated up front. Plus the COI on IULs is usually no higher than on traditional ULs.
And even if they suddenly raise the COI up to the max amount its not going to suddenly tank the policy.
In most situations an IUL should be over/max funded, a rise in COI will not adversely affect a well designed policy.
So yes, the cap still matters... more than the COI imo...
Your statement sounds more like a scare tactic from a competing agent...
Unless the COI is increased to the max, the client has no idea where in the middle they might fall and how they will effect policy performance. What's the difference in having a 12% cap with higher COI's and a 10% cap with lower COI's, or an 8% cap with even lower COI? It's the same game companies play with giving people 8% income riders on annuities instead of 6 or 7%, but lowering the payout rate from 5% to 4% to make up the difference. The payout is the same, but the number sounds good in the marketing piece.
Most consumers won't fully understand an IUL policy in the first place, let alone when they look at their statement in 15 years.
Where the COI is at does not affect the policy like you are making it out to.
Plus, the COI is variable on most all UL policies, so this is not unique to just IUL.
Again, there is no history of carriers doing this. Plus, there is no history of big cap swings at all.
Its the same type of "what if" argument people use in saying that the guaranteed column of a UL or WL could likely happen..