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I know that is why strong persistency killed LTC. That was my point.
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Completely agree, cannot figure how the math works especially in the low interest rate environmentI still can't see how fe CO's make money
I wouldn't think anywhere close to that. Companies loose approximately 20% the first year and another 15% or so the second year. Then you take into account the claims that are paid sometime in the first 10 years of the policy. I have life plans that have been on the books over 10 years but they aren't the majority. I have many more cancer plans that have been in force 20 years. (they aren't the majority either)best guess is 8-12 years?
I remember Twilight saying that CO's told him 5 yr persistency was less than 50% on fe policy's . I went back and looked at some 2015 Trans commission statements and I looked at a 2021 statement and was amazed how many weren't on there . Wether it was lapses or death or whatever . That's why they say renewals are just gravy in fe .