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Sorry about that.Fisher did not say what you have him quoted as saying up there ^^^
We need to hit the point where most boomers are retired (the youngest have some years to go yet) AND the amount going in to retirement accounts annually by the generations under them is less than what is coming out due to required minimum distributions. Those minimum withdrawals start at age 73 now with the younger boomers getting to wait even longer. We are still stacked on the side of more going in than coming out. The younger boomers are still under 65 and contributing to retirement funds. Supply/demand... it will be slow decline.That's depressing and I hope things don't go that way. The oldest baby boomers are 78 and have been withdrawing money from retirement savings since they were 70 1/2, but we haven't seen this problem manifest just yet.
It's not like every retiree has investments. Many have little to no savings, and live on social security alone. Some have pensions - while pensions are disappearing, older people are the ones still most likely to have them. Those who have retirement savings, it's not all in stock and stock mutual funds (or shouldn't be, it's too risky to be all in). They have bond funds, bonds, CDs, cash too. And the ones forced to sell investments to meet their Required Minimum Distributions, but who don't actually need the money, will just repurchase the same investments in their non-retirement brokerage accounts.
What you are describing is a kind of financial doomsday, and there are always commentators out there predicting the next crash, just as there are always the over-exuberant.
But I agree that housing is a total mess. There is not enough entry level housing available, and the housing available doesn't match what retirees need - like a flat entry on the ground floor, no interior stairs, wider hallways, walk-in showers... No one has built towards those needs. The shortage of such homes is in the millions. (60 million seniors over 65.) Maybe 10s of millions! I guess some homes can be retrofitted, but not everyone wants to put motorized chairs on their staircases. So then what happens? People close off their upper levels and turn their dining room into a bedroom? That's a depressing thought.
Aging does have some s good points - it's better than the alternative.
PS now it looks like what I originally hit reply to has been changed. At least now it is attributed correctly.Sorry about that.
I quoted what someone else said who had both posts in their post. I'll have to go looking to see who said it and fix that. Thanks for bringing that to my attention.
EDIT - so I deleted that post and hit quote to the original post again and pasted my comment back in. Now it should be attributed correctly. Again I appologize. Not sure how that happened as I just hit reply.
to bundle MAPD and stand alone PDP into the same basket is a lame attempt at inflating the numbers to make a bad situation look better.
Almost half the population will not consider an MAPD.
The other half will not ever consider a PDP.
It is a relatively small slice of the people that will actually consider crossing the line from MAPD to OM and vice versa.
So immediately, those numbers are cut in half at least.
looking at just PDP in Florida you only have 14 plans across 6 carriers. Of which 1 carrier with 2 plans, Florida Blue, is not really competitive. And there are another 6 plans offer by another 4 carriers that is not very competitive at all. And then another 2-3 plans that are moderately competitive in any given scenario.
What you are left with in the typical Rx scenario is, at best, 3-4 plans (but usually 1, maybe 2) plan options for the customer.
Its horrendous.
10 years ago we had something like 34 different plans offered by 9 or 10 different carriers. And often had 6 or 7 drug plans within a few dollars of each other in total cost. It was true competition.
If medicare could negotiate all drug prices like all other insurance companies, the VA and medicaid, prices would come down and there would need to be less government help to make drugs affordable. Are you saying that seniors need to be wealthy to be able to afford their drugs?If it wasn't for the current heavy government subsidies, most companies wouldn't even offer Part D plans, anymore.