You missed the point. It is ok, everyone does and that is why investors never get average returns.
Why did the market go down? People were busy selling. They were locking in their losses. Why did the market go up, they were busy buying.
The average investor has shown time and time their desire to buy high and sell low. That is why the market can return whatever it wants, the average investor will never see it. The market may have averaged 9%, but most investors didn't.
This has been proven time and time again.
Now, I'm not going to research this for you, as I don't care if you do BOY, BTID, or JOAB. I'm not here to convert anyone's investment philosophy. As I told the OP in the beginning, BOY or Infinite Banking can work for you, just don't believe it doesn't have flaws.
I'm personally more in favor of some diversification. Max out your IRA or 401k and buy some CV life insurance.
Bang. That is where the story can get really compelling...
To be fair, the OP did use 6% in his example. If the average is 9% and he estimates 6%, over a 30 year time horizon that does not seem inappropriate.
Also, once we're within 7-10 years of tapping that nest egg, annuities do provide some of that downside protection.
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You still missing the point.
It isn't about people looking for short term gains. It is about human nature. The market goes down, they get scared and pull out, the market goes up they get greedy and invest. Just watch the flows into stock funds versus bond funds. It is almost always contrary to what people should be doing.
No one is going to put $500/mo into mutual funds and get market returns. Human nature will kick in and side-track the plan. Of course, putting $500/mo into a WL policy can be side-tracked just as easily.
Here is what I think you're referencing:
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