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If you look at the S&P 500 over the last ten years, Feb. 1999 to Feb. 2009, it averaged -5% per year for that period.
Someone investing $100,000 in Feb. 1999 would have about $61,000 left in Feb. 2009.
On the other hand, if they had just put their money into something that even got a lousy 4% compounded for that same period of time, they would have over $155,000 now.
When you put that on a graph, the first thing you notice is that THERE WAS NOT A SINGLE DAY THE MARKET DID BETTER THAN A STEADY 4% COMPOUNDED. Very powerful stuff to show folks why they might want to avoid being in the market.
Very good post. It is good to see you back on here!