Yep, it was a banana peel from his party.And risk assessment is,necessary when we are pricing on what is essentially a sample of the population. When we cover the population, underwriting is not necessary and rates are simply claims trended + an admin charge. That is how carriers manage their various blocks.
I've looked at group claims where the carrier said it was 100% credible. My calculations showed only a 35% r^2 looking at rolling 12 month experience. At 24 months r^2 jumped to 65% which is still significantly below 100%. Throw in a std deviation and the renewal justification becomes pure hocus-pocus for a 1,000 member group.
Back off and consider renewals from carrier perspective and you realize that the groups are each smaller samples of the larger block. Carriers manage to break even on claims and whatever direct expenses are associated with a group and keep the admin fee for overhead.
There are huge economies of scale and per-person admin charges are next to nothing. This is observed by looking at a completely self-funded case.
ACA has had horrible and unpredictable claim experience because of adverse selection. The 2 options are to prevent adverse selection either by underwriting or enrolling all. Carriers use underwriting as competition. The healthy jump on the most stringently underwritten plan they can get. Unfortunately, health while under some individual control isn't completely controllable.
One statistic said "only" 6% of the population are covered by individual health plans. Some of those can pass underwriting. Personal philosophy determines what you want to do with the 3% or so that can't. You could say "pinche it let them pay or do without ". Or you figure some other way - even if your only reason for doing so is the realization that you may be there someday. Time goes fast and all will get sick sometime.
I repeat, the Repubs have no intention of fixing any thing and are getting boxed in. Cancel and/or institute pre-ex and they will be heald accountable . They will simply let it die while pretending to do something and of course blame Obama.
Pinche Trump