Grandfathered Health Plans

Saw something a few days ago that estimated half the plans will not meet grandfather requirements. The way things are headed now, I would not be surprised to see the figure closer to 90% will fail the test.

Of course many employers of all sizes are ready to chuck it all and let the employees go to the exchange.

Can't say I blame them.

I think this is a very real possibility. I saw a predictive model from one of the carriers that expect 20 million people to go onto the exchange.

Most small groups will drop group coverage. Most groups 50-100 will drop coverage.

My personal thought is the exchange is going to be very expensive much more than what anyone is thinking. So even if the insured is eligible for a tax credit they still have to have the money to pay the premium.
 
What i have been telling my renewal groups and prospects is if you make no changes to your currently plan and pass only on a 5% rate increase to the employee you will be grandfathered.
The benefit of being grand fathered is that your plan will not have to adhere to all of the new health care reforms laws.

No small or mid size group is going to be grandfathered because the group can not absorb the entire rate increase.

I personaly think a grandfathered plan is going to be worth a lot in 2014 but there will be very few left.

From my understanding, its not that the employer has to eat all but 5% of the premium increase, its that they can only change their existing split by 5%. So if they currently have an employer/employee 80/20 split, and premiums go up 20%, the employee's share will still go up by 20%, as a matter of fact it could go up by 50% if you implemented a full 5% change in the split to 75/25.

Am I reading this incorrectly?
 
From my understanding, its not that the employer has to eat all but 5% of the premium increase, its that they can only change their existing split by 5%. So if they currently have an employer/employee 80/20 split, and premiums go up 20%, the employee's share will still go up by 20%, as a matter of fact it could go up by 50% if you implemented a full 5% change in the split to 75/25.

Am I reading this incorrectly?

No you are way off.

The employer cannot pass on anymore than 5% increase in cost to the employee. Also the employer cannot make any plan changes that reduce benefits. If they do they lose the grandfathered status.
 
No you are way off.

The employer cannot pass on anymore than 5% increase in cost to the employee. Also the employer cannot make any plan changes that reduce benefits. If they do they lose the grandfathered status.

ABC, perhaps you are misunderstanding me. If premiums go up by say 20% b/c of medical inflation, then yes, the plan can pass on those costs to the employee and still remain 'grandfathered', assuming of course it doesn't reduce benefits, etc. What it cannot do is shift a greater percentage of those costs onto the employee, either through increased deductibles (above a certain allowed increased), increased co-insurance (not at all), increased co-pays (above a certain allowed amount), or increased percentage of the premium paid for by the employee (by more than a 5% shift)

If you are operating under the assumption that employee premiums on an absolute basis can only increase by 5% (in addition to all the requirements being met) to remain grandfathered, I would suggest you re-read the regulations.
 
Grandfathered plans will never be what they should be and by crunching some numbers it seems that it will be cheaper for the large publicly traded companies to drop their health plans altogether and just pay the penalty. They will save up to 50% until 2014 and somewhere along the lines of 10% after the maximum penalty is levied. So as publicly traded companies they have a duty to the stock holders to maintain a profit and shedding health care could do this. Personally I would rather have 100 individual health sales then a 100 person group.
 
Feel free to point out any flaws you see in this, but this is what I really suspect will happen.

There will be a massive increase in new PEOs. Put all the rank and file employees in the PEO and price the cost of the fine into the fees. Then just have a group plan for the executives and managers. Best of both worlds then, massive cost savings on the majority of the employees, but the top employees get the plan they want.
 
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