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- #11
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If you want to discuss the potential impact on the large group market, you have to think far out - 5, 15, 25 years.
Let's examine the current system; get a job, get group health, leave job, grab COBRA, get another job with a new carrier/plan.
Over time, that method will change. Leave a job, grab and exchange plan. Going into a job with a new employer, the only reason that employee would cancel the plan they bought through their exchange is if the employer had a better deal.
For lower level employees that's likely not going to be the case:
"Ok...wait. I have a plan right now on my own for $220 per month for my entire family. You want me to cancel that, get your group plan and pay $580? No thanks."
Now again, go out 5, 15, 25 years and you have a slew of workers coming into large companies with their own plans and aren't gonna cancel. Eventually over time participation will go down. Then....
Let's examine the current system; get a job, get group health, leave job, grab COBRA, get another job with a new carrier/plan.
Over time, that method will change. Leave a job, grab and exchange plan. Going into a job with a new employer, the only reason that employee would cancel the plan they bought through their exchange is if the employer had a better deal.
For lower level employees that's likely not going to be the case:
"Ok...wait. I have a plan right now on my own for $220 per month for my entire family. You want me to cancel that, get your group plan and pay $580? No thanks."
Now again, go out 5, 15, 25 years and you have a slew of workers coming into large companies with their own plans and aren't gonna cancel. Eventually over time participation will go down. Then....