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I believe that study only addresses people who try to time the market.
John,
They do have a study about market timers. However, the original study I mentioned spoke specifically to investor behavior. Many investors get emotional and make poor decisions because of greed and fear. That has nothing to do with timing the market. Since mid-December I've received many calls from clients invested in the market. They are concerned. Several wanted to move to a money market. I think we are near the low end of the downturn (unless we get some additional bad news). To move to a money market now only guarantees the losses. Usually when a person gets fearful of the market and moves to some type of cash position (such as a CD or money market), they generally miss out on the upswing of the market. If they ever do get back in, it's usually near the top of the upswing. And we start the cycle all over again. They aren't trying to time the market. Their emotions are controlling them and, as I said, causing them to make poor decisions. My job as an advisor is to make sure I do everything I can to prevent the investor from harming themselves.