Only time will tell the truth, but I agree with you AC. I think less people than they project will get a bonus (because they're incentivezed to report it mid-year), more people will pay a clawback (because the majority under-estimate to get a bigger subsidy in my experience).
10% being close enough it doesn't matter, or reporting changes mid-year so everything adds up, is probably pretty close to reality.
10% being close enough it doesn't matter, or reporting changes mid-year so everything adds up, is probably pretty close to reality.