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Also there is nothing to stop an employer now to make most of his employee's contractors and pay them 1099 to get his/her employee count down under 50.
I wouldn't say that:
New Crackdown On Using Independent Contractors - Forbes
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Doesn't sound like much new there except to 'put on notice' those big, bad employers that the IRS will NOT tolerate any fuzzy math as to the 30 hr rule.
What sticks out most to me though is the 'affordability' determination... 9.5% of gross pay. How many employees are paying that for healthcare now? I realize that their employers may be paying that but not employees. When this whole thing slides sideways and employers renig on providing coverage, pay the penalty and give the appx balance of what is left to an employee for them to buy their own coverage... if sure seems like with the increased cost of coverage and the reduced amount an employee might receive after the employer pays the penalty... the avg employee who is left to buy on the infamous exchange, isn't going to be all that happy when they have less coverage and higher oop premium.
Do others see this the same way? It also seems that the attempt to get more people insured could very well end accomplishing just the opposite before it is done. What do they call that... 'unintented consequences'.
I disagree. If existing group plan costs $400/mo, somebody (ER or EE) is paying $4800/year for coverage. Assume employee gets paid $25,000/yr, and assume ER is paying $200/mo of that premium, EE paying other $200/mo.
If under 50 employees, no penalty for ER. But, ER was paying $200/mo for insurance. ER will give $200 to EE (keep whole) through HRA, and EE gets subsidized coverage on exchange costing $200/mo (after subsidies). With HRA money, employee getting free insurance vs. paying $200/mo right now for coverage.
If over 50 employees, and ER drops coverage, and pays $2000 fine. ER gives EE $400 a year to buy coverage through HRA. Subsidized cost in exchange is $200/mo or $2400 a year. Total cost to employee is $2000/year or less than they pay now.
The ER pays the same in both examples. The EE pays less in both examples. It's the taxpayer that gets screwed.
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