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Two years ago, Ameri Health (a Blue Cross company) in southern NJ pulled out of the MA market, leaving 20,000 beneficiaries without a plan. The only other choices in the area were another Blue Cross carrier and Aetna. An agent who had 150 beneficiaries with the carrier spent the whole AEP scrambling around either moving them over to Aetna or putting them on a GI Med Supp as they had a "get outta jail free" pass since their plan left the area. This was around $3,000 in monthly renewals we're talking about.
NJ is a great state for MS as they don't have a lot of MA plans like we do in PA, where it's riduculous.
NJ is a great place for both depending where you are, we have a few agents doing very well. The average incomes are higher, therefore more access to the Med Supp market, but there are also great MAPD options.
I hear you on the MA plans pulling out of markets but in many of those cases you can see it coming. That is absolutely a factor to be aware of and all the more reason not to have all your eggs in one basket.